This is probably the most important question in betting and somehow still the least clearly answered. A lot of bettors can explain why they like a team, but far fewer can explain when a price is no longer worth taking. That’s where most weak bets seem to happen. So how do you personally recognize bad value before placing a wager? Is it purely about numbers and line movement, or do you use a more practical test like asking whether you’d still like the bet if nobody else was talking about it? I’m especially interested in how people handle picks they still believe in, but at worse odds than earlier.
This is probably the most important question in betting and somehow still the least clearly answered. A lot of bettors can explain why they like a team, but far fewer can explain when a price is no longer worth taking. That’s where most weak bets seem to happen. So how do you personally recognize bad value before placing a wager? Is it purely about numbers and line movement, or do you use a more practical test like asking whether you’d still like the bet if nobody else was talking about it? I’m especially interested in how people handle picks they still believe in, but at worse odds than earlier.